U.S. Senate
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(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
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(D) Joe Neguse
(D) Phil Weiser
(D) Jena Griswold
60%
60%
40%↓
Att. General
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(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Alexis King
(D) Brian Mason
40%
40%
30%
Sec. of State
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(D) George Stern
(D) A. Gonzalez
(R) Sheri Davis
40%
40%
30%
State Treasurer
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(D) Brianna Titone
(R) Kevin Grantham
(D) Jerry DiTullio
60%
30%
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(D) Joe Salazar
50%
40%
40%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
August 16, 2006 09:57 PM UTC
21 Comments
Well, as Cheney has pointed out, it’s important in a time of war to have unity…
And that is what Rick O’Donnell is all about. Sticking close to Bush, Cheney and Hastert. Even if he might let down the voters in Colorado CD 7, he wont let the decider.
Maybe if the Adminstration had actually finished the job in Afghanistan, brought bin Laden to justice, and used the military only as a last resort, I bet his numbers would be at LEAST in the high 40’s! Of course, what the hell do I know? It’s not like I haven’t been saying this for nearly 5 friggin’ years now!
I seem to recall that in the Lieberman/Connecticut discussions, that Bushie’s approval rating in connecticut was below 10%… (?)
Since it was a Democratic primary, that number is probably for Democrats.
Did a quick google on the populations of Wyoming, Utah, Idaho, and Colorado Springs. CSprgs is almost larger than WY, UT, and ID combined.
Those three states combined have over 4 million people in them… Csprings has like 500K in the entire county… I think you might have added wrong.
c springs, the city, has rough 370,000 people (ElPaso has about 500,000), Wyoming has around 400,000. maybe you just slapped on an extra zero to the 500,000 of EPC.
That must be why he said ALMOST…
In general, I think someone found out that major party candidates could be expected to draw about 27% of the vote no matter what.
Now, there’s some special exemptions. Convicted Ohio Governor Taft at one point and time enjoyed a 15% approval rating. Bush currently polls at ~4% approval with African Americans (margin of error >4%). But, overall, 27% of the population would elect a ham sandwich if it was registered Republican or Democratic. So Bush, who is hovering somewhere in the mid-thirties, is less than 10% away from losing to a ham sandwich – not surprising when you have an agenda that’s just about as ambitious as a food substance.
I always thought the base that any major political party’s candidate could expect to receive no matter how awful the candidate and the campaign was 30 to 35%. (I got that perception looking at the Goldwater and McGovern disasters for the Republicans and Democrats nationwide.)
Further down the ticket, it gets more complicated. T
here are some extreme examples of the bottom falling out on a major party’s candidate. Alan Schlesinger the GOP nominee for U.S. Senate in Ct. is currently polling at 6% against Ned Lamont’s 41% and Joe Lieberman’s 46%.
I think Schlesinger is down to 4% now. Ned and Lieberman split a couple of former GOP votes in the latest poll.
There are always a few percent that will cross over the aisle in the event of an emergency. At one point, it was thought that Bush couldn’t dive below 40% because of the “base”; apparently the base isn’t as wide as they thought.
“How low (and how high) can you get with an approval rating for President?”
I’m not sure about the low. As for the high, check back in January of 2013 when President Lamborn is inaugurated.
were you locked up somewhere?
Just basking in the dawn of a new age, where our legislature will represent America, instead of illegal aliens and abortionists.
At least once November 7 rolls around and Lamborn is coronated/elected.
*****************
“Vote Lamborn: Because the other guy’s a terrorist.”
… check back in February of 2013 when the Lamborn impeachment proceedings begin. 🙂
Bush reached over 90% right after 9-11, as I recall.
Was not Daddy Bush’s popularity at about 91% in Feb. ’91 when Op Desert Storm was launched? There was a textbook example of how to successfully plan for and fight a war with overwhelming popular support around the world and relatively few casualties (at least for our side).
Well, Bush holds the high of 92% right after 9/11 and Truman holds the low, 22% while the country was in the midst of the Korean War.
I guess this means that war can either make or break you in the polls, but the public is fickle. Look for Bush to make a run for the record low after we invade Iran. If he can make 92% I bet he can get down to 18% before he’s kicked out the door.
Here’s an interesting page with all the historical highs and lows – http://www.ropercent…
Tricky Dick Nixon was also at 22% during the first wek of Aug. ’74. But he didn’t stay there for long…..
Prof. Franklin at U. Wisconson provides an excellent discussion of the upper and lower limits of presidential approval here:
http://politicalarit…
Basically, if Bush can go up to 90, he can go down to 10. It’s all a matter of how many of his fellow Republicans are willing to abandon him.